Monday, February 3, 2014

Big Ten Bubble Watch: Dbrolaw watching Hoosiers with Hope

The Super Bowl is over.  Let me say -- figured defense would beat offense (again!) -- and it did.  Peyton looked bad.  The Seattle defense looked bad (and in a good way).  And Russell Wilson was magic.

Now it's time to think of March Madness.

The Big Ten is, by everyone's reckoning, the best conference in the country.  Both Bracket Brad & Joe Lunardi have 6 B10 teams making the tournament.

But IU's not one of them, yet.

Bracket Brad has them on the bubble looking in.

They are 4-5 in the Big 10, 14-8 overall.  Their RPI is 64th & they have quality wins over Wisconsin and Michigan (both at home).  For the second half of the B10 season, they have a series of winnable games, with Penn St, Northwestern, Nebraska & Purdue on the schedule.  With another upset -- say at Minnesota, or at home v. Ohio St -- they'd be 9-9 in the toughest conference in the country.  They'd need an opening round win in the B10 tourney in Indy, practically home court advantage.

I wish my Boilers were in that kind of shape. I was at yesterday's loss in State College, a debacle of bad play.  Too many turnovers; no one to stretch the defense (2-7 from trey?); sloppy switching defense, leading to lots of layups.  Ugly.

They needed that game.  Now 3-6 in the B10, they had an outside chance if they could beat the same teams on IU's list.  But having lost to Northwestern, though in OT, and now Penn State, it looks like they belong in something like the 10th slot in the B10.

So, we'll watch.  And hope for some quality wins.

My current F4:  Michigan St (assuming they are healthy), Arizona (assuming they are the West #1), Duke and Florida.

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