First, I sucked it up last week.
Second, I sucked it up in last year's playoff confidence picks. Remember last year? Giants at 9-7 sweep to Super Bowl? Pats, chalking when no one thinks they are "that" good, to the Super Bowl against them?
Third, we all know there'll be at least one upset this weekend. But is the Redskins, 1 1/2 point home 'dogs, winning an upset? The Packers, 8 point favs, losing would be a REAL upset.
So, strategically, what to do? I found that by picking (guessing) one upset because I assume an upset usually means I end up losing two games, not one. The one I guess wrong about being and upset AND the REAL upset.
So, here's the strategy: chalk. Packers, Texans, Ravens, Seahawks in that order. I'd go 8-7-6-5.
That leaves your 11 for whoever goes to Denver next week. And your 10 for whoever goes to NE (a redux of the Houston slaughter of a few weeks ago?). And your low numbers to put on whoever plays the Falcons. If it's the Seahawks, you might go crazy and go 9.
So, be smart: stick with the favorites, knowing you (and most everyone) is going to miss one.
That's my call. If I'm sitting next week with 26, I'll feel pretty good. Wouldn't you?
No comments:
Post a Comment