I'm not waiting on tomorrow night's Committee revelation (by the way, why does it take them two days? what do they do, watch tape of every game?) -- to show the SEC lovers I'm not an SEC hater, I'm thinking both Alabama and Miss. St. make the CFP.
Why? This assumes both win out (the standard assumption). Florida State is undefeated, so they should go. Alabama wins the SEC with 1-loss -- they should go. Who next? Oregon wins the Pac-12 with 1-loss, including wins over Mich St, Arizona St or UCLA in Pac-12 championship, etc. They should go.
Who's next? Miss St, if they beat Ol' Miss, have a fistful of T25 wins. Including possibly that one. Who has TCU beaten? Baylor? Ohio St?
ESPN's power ranking has MSU 4th. That's probably right. And if they win out, they deserve to be in F4.
IF!
However, I doubt if "win out" is what all these teams do. I suspect of the hopefuls at least two of them lose -- Alabama to Auburn or Georgia, Fl St to someone in the ACC championship game (or even Florida?), Oregon to Oregon St in the Apple Bowl or UCLA or AZ St, Baylor to K-State? TCU to Texas Thanksgiving weekend? Ohio St to either Michigan (though Brady Hoke has never beaten them) or to Wisconsin (clearly the king of the west today) in B10 championship game.
So, this week, my prediction is for the F4 is Alabama, Miss State, TCU and Florida State.
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