Monday, April 22, 2013

Derby Preve #2: Short Take, The Week B4 Derby Week

So, as JG can attest, I've picked 3 straight Derby prep races right.  Yeah, I/we had Winning Cause in the Lexington Saturday.  I think JG said he won $29+ on $2 WPS ticket.  Not a bad payoff.

He wants as much or better on the Derby.

My opening comments on the Derby:  Normandy Invasion and Revolutionary.  Not in that order.

I like that Revolutionary picked up Calvin last week as rider; I like that both horses have only been out twice in 2013 -- Vyjack looked tired (to name one) in Wood (his third trip of the year)...and I needn't remind you the Derby is longer.

The future line out of Vegas has NI @ 9 to 1, Rev @ 7 to 1.  I take that every day.  And an exacta?!?!!?  Whoa, baby.

But I also like Goldencents -- remembering the California run from I'll Have Another last year -- and its top speed rating of the spring.  At 8 to 1, it's a good value, too.

The current favorite is Verrrazano, at 9 to 2.  I doubt anyone goes much lower.   It's not going to be an odds-on race, but one with money spread over about half a dozen or so contenders.

Value if you pick it right.  Right JG?

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