Friday, May 17, 2013

(Not Tips on Betting) The Preakness

Yes, tomorrow is the Preakness.  "Horse racing's second in the Triple Crown." Etc, Etc.

They run for $1 million.  Only a handful of races a year are bigger than that.

But I'm not giving any tips or anything like it.

Why?

I sucked up the Derby.  Oh-fer.  Wore the collar.  Every cliche you can name.

Yes, having Revolutionary and not Orb doesn't look too bad, but it meant cashing no tickets on the Derby.  And none of the other plays worked that day, either.

So, no tips.  No advice.  Humbled.

But this blog is about winning money.

Don't bet on Orb.  At 1to1, all the "wise guys" (I wonder where they talk to them that they get to say "this is the wise guys' horse in this race") will tell you there's nothing to be made on betting it.

Of course there are always ways to make money on a race.  Exotics.  Long shots.  Etc.

Fun fact (or coincidence): in a long time, in a field of 9 or less in the Preakness, the Derby winner has not won.  There are 9 tomorrow.

Fun "fact" #2: three-year-olds are still developing and are neither mature enough, bred correctly, or trained correctly to race two weeks apart (at least anymore).  So, those moving from the also-ran status in the Derby (you will have noticed that #s 2, 3, & 4 in Derby aren't there tomorrow..waiting for Belmont or later) to Pimlico tomorrow are not likely to turn it around.

Departing ran four weeks ago tomorrow.   Governor Charlie, farther back.  Both won.  They are not slouch horses -- no, they shouldn't be favored ahead of Orb, but they aren't pushovers.

Yes, I had Fiftyshadesofgray today in the Black Eyed Susan.  As the second favorite @ 2-1, it wasn't exactly genius.  $6.60 on $2 isn't bad money.  Of course, I wish I had the Susan-Preakness double half in my pocket right now, but...who knew?

Good luck tomorrow.  If I pick well tomorrow, I may have some comments on the Belmont.  Or even the Penn Mile ($500k) on June 1.


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